Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport + |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (215/326) | 67% (221/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (215/326) | 67% (221/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/76) | 30% (25/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (71/117) | 61% (82/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 88 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Barany D. ⚽,
- 63', Hahn J. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 63', Balogh B. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 64', Szendrei A. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
- 66', Cibla F. ↓, Szuhodovszki S. ↑,
- 73', Horvath K. ↓, Pesti Z. ↑,
- 76', Batik B. 🟨,
- 79', Dzsudzsak B. ↓, Youga A. ↑,
- 79', Barany D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 84', Szuhodovszki S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Adam M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Komaromi G. ↓, Szecsi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Debreceni
29.9% | Draw
26.8% | Paksi SE
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Debreceni's form might have worsened.Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Debreceni - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.66) |
3.46 ↓
(3.77) |
2.15 ↓
(2.33) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Debreceni - Paksi SE?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Paks (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Paks (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Paksi SE will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 1 - 25%). Paks (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.
- Paks will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Debreceni won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Debreceni won against Paksi SE?
Debreceni has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Debreceni?
Paksi SE has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Debreceni - Paksi SE were as follows:
18.10.2025
Paksi SE
-
Debreceni
1:1
18.05.2025
Debreceni
-
Paksi SE
0:0
22.02.2025
Paksi SE
-
Debreceni
4:3
19.10.2024
Debreceni
-
Paksi SE
0:5
10.03.2024
Paksi SE
-
Debreceni
1:1
Latest results of Debreceni
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 46:26 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | Paks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Zalaegerszegi | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | DVTK | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 21:49 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
