Result
0:3
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (191/260) | 93% (751/808) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (191/260) | 93% (751/808) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (37/64) | 65% (20/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 87% (221/253) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', Hakimi A. 🟨,
- 24', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Hakimi A. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Hakimi A. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Del Castillo R. (Pen),
- 67', Lee Kang-In ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
- 67', Pacho W. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 67', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 67', Mboup P. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 70', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
- 78', Magnetti H. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 79', Locko B. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
- 79', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 79', Mayulu S. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
- 90+3', Del Castillo R. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 3, Doue D. ⚽, Zaire-Emery W. (A),
Chances of winning
Brest
7% | Draw
13.2% | Paris Saint-Germain
79.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brest - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
16.37 ↑
(5.91) |
8.23 ↑
(4.78) |
1.26 ↓
(1.49) |
-2.2%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Brest - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). PSG will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 76.7% – 97.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - PSG (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - PSG (1.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1.5 - PSG (1.91) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 0.
- Brest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in PSG: Neves J.
(Muscle Injury)
Ruiz F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Doumbia K.
(Knee Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Thigh Injury)
Lala K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 15:56. (average 0.8:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:32. (average 0.9:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Brest has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Brest?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
19.02.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Brest
7:0
11.02.2025
Brest
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:3
01.02.2025
Brest
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:5
14.09.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Brest
3:1
07.02.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Brest
3:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
