Result
1:1
19/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (234/298) | 82% (343/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (234/298) | 82% (343/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 47% (31/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (45/79) | 64% (58/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Coquelin F. (A),
- 41', Guindo D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Del Castillo R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Coquelin F. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 56', Leroux L. 🟨,
- 65', Tabibou D. 🟥,
- 67', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 67', Guindo D. ↓, Lala K. ↑,
- 69', Halilhodzic V. 🟥,
- 77', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Abline M. ↑,
- 78', Magnetti H. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 90+1', Ganago I. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
- 90+4', Lopes A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Chardonnet B. ⚽, Del Castillo R. (A),
Chances of winning
Nantes
39.9% | Draw
29.3% | Brest
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Nantes - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.38) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
3.1 ↑
(2.99) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nantes - Brest?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Brest will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 33.7% – 75.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Nantes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Brest (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.
- Nantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Brest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nantes: Amian K.
(Injury)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Tati T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Diaz Jr. M.
(Yellow Cards)
Doumbia K.
(Injury)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Cabella R.
(Inactive)
Guirassy B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Brest?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Nantes?
Brest has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Brest were as follows:
04.10.2025
Brest
-
Nantes
0:0
07.02.2025
Nantes
-
Brest
0:2
15.01.2025
Brest
-
Nantes
2:1
15.12.2024
Brest
-
Nantes
4:1
04.05.2024
Brest
-
Nantes
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
