Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 33
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (323/378) | 88% (358/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (323/378) | 88% (358/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 67% (18/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (80/109) | 80% (91/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Hoxha A. ⚽, Misic J. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Prsir J. ⚽, Kavelj A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', McKenna S. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
- 62', Beljo D. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
- 62', Soldo M. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
- 65', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
- 66', Prsir J. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 68', Hoxha A. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
- 77', Misic J. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
- 78', Bogojevic B. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 78', Erceg A. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
- 80', Dominguez S. 🟨,
- 90', Pavicic D. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Bakrar M. ⚽, Dominguez S. (A),
Chances of winning
Gorica
15% | Draw
20.4% | Dinamo Zagreb
64.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.13 ↓
(6.45) |
4.59 ↑
(4.18) |
1.43 ↓
(1.45) |
7.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.
- In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Zajc M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 10 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
08.04.2026
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:6
01.03.2026
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
4:2
01.12.2025
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:2
14.09.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:2
23.04.2025
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:0
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
