Result
1:0
27/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 32
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (257/311) | 84% (365/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (257/311) | 84% (365/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (71/88) | 59% (54/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Prsir J. ⚽, Bogojevic B. (A),
- 45+1', Rozic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mauric A. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
- 50', Erceg A. 🟨,
- 57', Kadusic A. 🟨,
- 67', Prsir J. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 73', Bogojevic B. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 73', Erceg A. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
- 78', Heister M. ↓, Sepic N. ↑,
- 78', Rozic V. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 82', Kavelj A. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 85', Frederiksen E. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
- 87', Kumar R. 🟨,
- 89', Peric S. 🟨,
- 90', Prevljak S. 🟨,
- 90', Kadusic A. ↓, Hrvatin R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
48.5% | Draw
27.8% | Istra 1961
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Gorica - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.04) |
3.38 ↑
(3.28) |
3.94 ↑
(3.45) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gorica - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
Gorica will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Recently, Istra 1961 has had a series of home games.
- Gorica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gorica: Cabraja M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Ayuma I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Istra 1961?
Gorica has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Gorica?
Istra 1961 has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Istra 1961 were as follows:
21.02.2026
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
0:2
23.11.2025
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
1:0
29.08.2025
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
1:0
12.04.2025
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
3:2
31.01.2025
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
0:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
