Result
0:0
21/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 16
- Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Lozev D. 🟨,
- 44', Salomoni J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Yordanov D. 🟨,
- 68', Yordanov D. ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
- 72', Dabo A. ↓, Sonha T. ↑,
- 73', Dual W. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
- 74', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
- 86', Nene ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
- 87', Ivanov D. ↓, Marinov T. ↑,
- 90+2', Salido Tajero A. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Beroe Stara Zagora
47.4% | Draw
28.6% | Spartak Varna
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beroe Stara Zagora's form might have worsened.Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.76) |
3.27 ↓
(3.3) |
3.94 ↓
(4.7) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beroe: 46.5% – 86.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beroe Stara Zagora will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 4.
- Beroe is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Spartak Varna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Beroe is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Beroe Stara Zagora won against Spartak Varna?
Beroe Stara Zagora has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Beroe Stara Zagora?
Spartak Varna has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna were as follows:
21.07.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
0:0
26.05.2025
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Spartak Varna
3:1
10.05.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
1:2
01.03.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
0:3
18.10.2024
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Spartak Varna
3:0
Latest results of Beroe Stara Zagora
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 44 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 33:19 | 14 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27:28 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Arda | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 31 |
| 9 | Botev Plovdiv | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19:30 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:46 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 17:37 | -20 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 14:37 | -23 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
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