Result
4:5
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 29', Newman Jones A. 🟥,
- 31', 0 - 1, Thomas L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', 0 - 2, Harling L. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, Shaw J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 49', Idzi L. 🟥,
- 51', 2 - 2, Hood J. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 2, Keen B. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 3, Thomas L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', 4 - 3, Thomas J. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 4, Reed L. ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 5, Jones T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trethomas Bluebirds
31.5% | Draw
27.1% | Carmarthen Town
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Trethomas Bluebirds - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3.08) |
3.34 ↓
(3.53) |
2.18 ↑
(2.04) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).
- Recent form of Trethomas Bluebirds has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carmarthen Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Trethomas Bluebirds won against Carmarthen Town?
Trethomas Bluebirds has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Trethomas Bluebirds?
Carmarthen Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trethomas Bluebirds - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
08.11.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
18.10.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
5:1
28.12.2024
Trethomas Bluebirds
-
Carmarthen Town
3:0
05.10.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
2:0
Latest results of Trethomas Bluebirds
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
