Result
 
                    3:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  USL League One
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ | 
 Brazil | Disney+ | 
 Chile | Disney+ | 
 Colombia | Disney+ | 
 Mexico | Disney+ | 
 Peru | Disney+ | 
 Uruguay | Disney+ | 
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ | 
 Venezuela | Disney+ | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.43 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 37% | 63% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 64% (167/259) | 82% (361/442) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.43 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.58 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 25 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 19 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 64% (167/259) | 82% (361/442) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 24% (15/62) | 48% (27/56) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 50% (33/66) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 20% (4/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.30 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 19 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 69% (9/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 39 | 51 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 23 | 21 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 14 | 14 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.18 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.82 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
 - 10', 1 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, Robles R. (A), 
 - 20', Ramos J. 🟨, 
 - 31', 2 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, Herrera C. (A), 
 - 33', Soto E. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', 3 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, 
 - 57', Mensah R. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑, 
 - 57', Schipmann B. ↓, Lapsley W. ↑, 
 - 57', Garcia C. ↓, Brown N. ↑, 
 - 57', Boltz D. ↓, Gebhard D. ↑, 
 - 57', Mesias A. ↓, Boyce D. ↑, 
 - 62', Mehl T. 🟨, 
 - 64', Benton D. 🟨, 
 - 70', Lee E. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑, 
 - 70', Soto E. ↓, Corvino P. ↑, 
 - 70', Viader D. ↓, Sousa F. ↑, 
 - 78', Patti A. 🟨, 
 - 82', Herrera C. ↓, Anguiano C. ↑, 
 - 89', Evans C. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Greenville Triumph  48.5% | Draw  27.4% | Forward Madison  24.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.87 ↑ (1.64) | 
			   3.3 ↑ (3.21) | 
			   3.76 ↑ (3.74) | 
			   10.5% (18.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 1.
 - Greenville is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, Greenville is the team to beat.
  - We predict that Forward Madison will win today's game, with odds of 3.8.
 - In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Greenville Triumph won against Forward Madison?
                    
                    
                        
                            Greenville Triumph has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Greenville Triumph?
                    
                    
                        
                             Forward Madison has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison were as follows:
                                                        
                                12.07.2025 
                                Forward Madison 
                                - 
                                Greenville Triumph 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                04.05.2024 
                                Forward Madison 
                                - 
                                Greenville Triumph 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.03.2024 
                                Greenville Triumph 
                                - 
                                Forward Madison 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.07.2023 
                                Forward Madison 
                                - 
                                Greenville Triumph 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.07.2023 
                                Greenville Triumph 
                                - 
                                Forward Madison 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Greenville Triumph                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Forward Madison