Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
03/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.31
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
72% (234/327)79% (348/438)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.311.19
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
72% (234/327)79% (348/438)
Long passes
45% (38/84)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
59% (63/107)65% (76/117)
Crosses
50% (7/14)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.72
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
1216
Tackles
47% (9/19)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6852
Clearances
3430
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.192.31
Goals prevented
-1.810.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Mensah R. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Wada M. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kvifte N. H. , Washington T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Robles R. , Sims T. (A),
  • 53', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Langlois P. , Kamara J. ,
  • 63', Wright O. , Southern E. ,
  • 66', Robles R. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 74', Corvino P. , Marsh C. ,
  • 74', Fricke B. , Agyaakwah I. ,
  • 74', Lee E. , Soto E. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Kamara J. , Messer N. (A),
  • 84', Mensah R. 🟨,
  • 85', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 87', Varela W. , Reilly M. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Washington T. , Kamara J. (A),
  • 90+5', Bubb Z. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Greenville Triumph
49.5%
Draw
25.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 26.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenville Triumph's performance.
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.94)
    3.56
    (3.2)
    3.65
    (2.93)
    9.7%
    (16.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Greenville will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hearts of Pine will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Greenville: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Greenville (votes: 1 - 25%). Hearts of Pine (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Greenville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hearts of Pine is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Greenville has had a series of away games.
    • Greenville might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph 3:1
    Latest results of Greenville Triumph
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)