Málaga vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga).

LaLiga2 - Round 6
Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.99
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
83% (405/488)	72% (224/311)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	1.04
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
38	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
83% (405/488)	72% (224/311)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
72% (118/165)	57% (52/92)
Crosses
11% (3/27)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.67	0.21
Throw-ins
25	25
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
50% (15/30)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
60	51
Clearances
9	46
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.04	0.58
Goals prevented
0.04	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ortuno S. ⚽,
32', Nino A. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brasanac D. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
46', Garcia V. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
59', Galilea E. 🟨,
65', Ugiagbe E. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
69', Tabatadze I. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
69', Suso ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
71', Juanpe ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
81', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
82', Montero J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+2', Climent M. 🟨,
90+5', Carcelen I. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yvzet78n

Chances of winning

Málaga
41.1%

Draw
30.4%

Cádiz
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

32%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

33.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Cádiz aligns with the current prediction.

Málaga - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.52)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	5.5% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Málaga - Cádiz?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cádiz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cádiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Munoz J. (Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury) Sanchez D. (Illness)
There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Málaga: Merino I. (Ankle Injury) Nino A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cádiz: Gil D. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Knock) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Cádiz?

Málaga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Málaga?

Cádiz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Cádiz were as follows:

09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2

12.10.2024 Cádiz - Málaga 2:2

Latest results of Málaga

13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Cádiz - Albacete Balompié 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Leganés - Cádiz 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Cádiz - Mirandés 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

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