Portugalete vs Santurtzi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Escobar M. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Llamazares I. ,
  • 37', 3 - 1, Llamazares I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', 4 - 1, Perez A. ,

Chances of winning


Portugalete
72.8%
Draw
17.3%
Santurtzi
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 20.7% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 19.9% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portugalete's performance.
  • Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Portugalete - Santurtzi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)
    5.9
    (4.4)
    10.27
    (6.6)
    -2%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 3.
    • Portugalete is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Santurtzi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Santurtzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Portugalete is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Santurtzi were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 2:2
    13.10.2024 Santurtzi - Portugalete 0:2
    Latest results of Portugalete
    29.10.2025 Portugalete - Valladolid 1:0
    18.10.2025 Portugalete - Pasaia 0:1
    12.10.2025 Lagun Onak - Portugalete 2:3
    05.10.2025 Portugalete - Deusto 1:0
    Latest results of Santurtzi
    26.10.2025 Santurtzi - San Ignacio 1:0
    18.10.2025 Derio - Santurtzi 3:0
    11.10.2025 Santurtzi - Touring KE 0:0
    21.09.2025 Leioa - Santurtzi 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

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