Millwall vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Millwall
48.7%
Draw
26.4%
Derby County
24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.7% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Millwall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Derby County have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Millwall - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.94)
    3.57
    (3.57)
    3.79
    (3.79)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
    • Millwall is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Millwall will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Derby County were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1
    22.02.2025 Derby County - Millwall 0:1
    19.10.2024 Millwall - Derby County 1:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    25.02.2026 Millwall - Birmingham City 3:0
    21.02.2026 Millwall - Portsmouth 1:3
    07.02.2026 Wrexham - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Millwall35188947:40762
    4Ipswich33179759:342560
    5Hull341861056:48860
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One