Derby County vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
germanyGermanyWOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.801.01
Ball possession
28%72%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
62
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
62
Passes
70% (159/226)87% (501/579)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.801.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.220.21
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
610
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1220
Passes
70% (159/226)87% (501/579)
Long passes
46% (29/63)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
56% (36/64)73% (107/146)
Crosses
36% (4/11)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.82
Throw ins
2219
Fouls
2012
Tackles
54% (7/13)90% (18/20)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.212.22
Goals prevented
0.210.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Agyemang P. 🟨,
  • 44', Stamenic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Brewster R. ⚽,
  • 51', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 65', Eom J. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
  • 65', Cullen L. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Agyemang P. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
  • 72', Brewster R. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
  • 72', Fraulo O. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
  • 76', Cabango B. 🟨,
  • 77', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
  • 77', Ronald ↓, Widell M. ↑,
  • 85', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
  • 88', Szmodics S. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 88', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
  • 90+5', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Morris C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
37.5%		Draw
29.6%		Swansea City
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 30.1% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.2% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swansea City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Derby County - Swansea City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.54 ↑
    (2.24)    		 3.2 ↑
    (3.1)    		 2.9 ↓
    (3.31)    		 5.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Swansea City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.5% – 68.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Swansea (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Swansea (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 20%). Swansea (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Derby: Langas S. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Travis L. (Red Card) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury) Santos R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Widell M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Swansea City were as follows:
    25.11.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:2
    05.04.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:0
    27.11.2024 Derby County - Swansea City 1:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    07.02.2026 Derby County - Ipswich Town 1:2 ✺
    30.01.2026 Bristol City - Derby County 0:5 ✺
    23.01.2026 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Swansea City
    08.02.2026 Swansea City - Sheffield Wednesday 4:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Watford - Swansea City 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Hull City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Swansea City - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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