Result
4:2
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 9
- Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (451/525) | 84% (314/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 2.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (451/525) | 84% (314/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 63% (27/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (99/132) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.85 | 3.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 22', Guti R. 🟨,
- 44', Moya T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Gomez D. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
- 46', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Chirino D. ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 51', 2 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽,
- 62', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
- 62', Moya T. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
- 64', Leo Baptistao ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 64', Gui Guedes ↓, Lopy D. ↑,
- 70', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
- 70', Tasende D. ↓, Valery ↑,
- 74', Melamed N. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 78', Moyano F. ↓, Pinilla H. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Kodro K. ⚽,
- 87', Centelles A. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 1, Puigmal A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Soberon M. ⚽, Francho (A),
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Lopy D. ⚽, Baba I. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yfhfapcj
Chances of winning
Almería
56.3% | Draw
24.6% | Zaragoza
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Almería - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.63) |
3.85 ↓
(4.1) |
4.95 ↑
(4.66) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Zaragoza?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Zaragoza (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Almería (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Zaragoza (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Almería will win
(23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zaragoza (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S.
(International duty)
Iribarne B.
(International duty)
Perovic M.
(International duty)
Soko P.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P.
(Red Card)
Bazdar S.
(International duty)
Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Kosa S.
(Knee Injury)
Pomares C.
(Injury)
de la Fuente P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Lopy D.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Zaragoza?
Almería has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Almería?
Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Zaragoza were as follows:
15.03.2025
Almería
-
Zaragoza
4:1
20.10.2024
Zaragoza
-
Almería
1:2
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
