Lens vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lens - Saint-Étienne
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.75
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4118
Through passes
71% (5/7)0% (0/2)
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
2014
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Long passes
62% (29/47)24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
72% (110/153)60% (51/85)
Crosses
47% (9/19)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.870.57
Fouls
1420
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5947
Clearances Total
918
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.750.77
Goals prevented
0.75-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 30', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 32', Macon Y. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cardona I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Tardieu F. , Moueffek A. ,
  • 65', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
  • 66', Said W. , Koyalipou G. ,
  • 66', Sotoca F. , Zaroury A. ,
  • 68', Davitashvili Z. , Old B. ,
  • 68', Cardona I. , Wadji I. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Koyalipou G. , Machado D. (A),
  • 79', Aguilar R. , Antonio K. ,
  • 86', Machado D. , Ojediran H. ,
  • 86', Diouf A. , Fulgini A. ,
  • 87', Petrot L. , Abdelhamid Y. ,
  • 87', Ojediran H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
60.3%
Draw
22.1%
Saint-Étienne
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.2% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 21.9% 19.3%

Lens - Saint-Étienne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.63)
4.35
(4.11)
5.38
(5.25)
5.3%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lens - Saint-Étienne?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (87 of 94 users predict this - 92.55%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.24%97.86%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 4.
    • Recent matches Lens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lens is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Face Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Miladinovic I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Juma Bah A. (Tooth injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lens 0:2
    Latest results of Lens
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG1283124:111327
    2Marseille1281328:111725
    3Lens1281321:111025
    4Strasbourg1271424:16822
    5Lille1262423:15820
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Lyon1262418:15320
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1252517:18-117
    10Toulouse1244418:16216
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Angers1234510:15-513
    14Metz1232712:27-1511
    15Brest1224614:21-710
    16Nantes1224611:18-710
    17Lorient1224614:26-1210
    18Auxerre122197:19-127

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2