Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (223/317) | 79% (433/547) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (223/317) | 79% (433/547) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/57) | 38% (36/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (48/86) | 62% (103/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 18% (6/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Biggins H. 🟨,
- 45', Smith M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Biggins H. ⚽, Driscoll-Glennon A. (A),
- 63', 2 - 0, Spellman M. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
- 66', Ladapo F. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 70', Opoku N. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
- 75', Grigg W. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 75', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 75', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
- 80', Stirk R. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 80', Biggins H. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Markanday D. ⚽,
- 90', Kamwa B. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 90+1', Spellman M. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 90+4', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
24.1% | Draw
25.5% | Chesterfield
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)The ML Model estimate for Newport County aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Newport County - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.75) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
1.86 ↓
(1.88) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
- Recent form of Newport has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chesterfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Chesterfield is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Donacien J.
(Injury)
Dunkley C.
(Inactive)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dobra A.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Grimes J.
(Inactive)
Markanday D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Chesterfield?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Newport County?
Chesterfield has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Chesterfield were as follows:
27.09.2025
Chesterfield
-
Newport County
4:1
08.03.2025
Chesterfield
-
Newport County
2:1
18.10.2024
Newport County
-
Chesterfield
0:3
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
