Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (326/419) | 68% (222/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (326/419) | 68% (222/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/73) | 36% (28/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (93/144) | 57% (68/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 20% (2/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽, Opoku N. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Masterson C. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Spellman M. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 62', Clark M. 🟨,
- 70', Smith J. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 76', Jenkins L. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 76', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Antwi C. ⚽, Nyakuhwa T. (A),
- 86', Rowe A. ↓, Hutton R. ↑,
- 87', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 88', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 89', Opoku N. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
- 90', Dack B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Little A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+9', 3 - 2, McCleary G. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
- 90+12', Dack B. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 90+16', Brennan C. 🟨,
- 90+16', Baker M. 🟨,
- 90+16', Smith A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
59.1% | Draw
23.7% | Newport County
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gillingham - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.61) |
3.9 ↑
(3.7) |
5.37 ↑
(5.19) |
7.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Newport County?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Gillingham?
Newport County has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Newport County were as follows:
01.11.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
3:2
20.09.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
1:3
04.03.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
3:1
22.10.2024
Gillingham
-
Newport County
0:2
17.02.2024
Newport County
-
Gillingham
1:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
