Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/398) | 81% (444/550) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/398) | 81% (444/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 46% (34/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (86/136) | 61% (68/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Burgess C. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
- 35', Karetsas K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 0, Zeneli B. ⚽, Guilherme Smith (A),
- 56', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
- 62', Sor Y. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 63', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 63', Karetsas K. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 66', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Heymans D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Kayembe J. 🟨,
- 75', Zeneli B. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 77', Fuseini M. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
- 82', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 82', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
- 90+2', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise
57.3% | Draw
24.3% | Genk
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Saint-Gilloise - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.7) |
3.88 ↓
(3.97) |
5.19 ↑
(4.84) |
5.3%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Genk?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Genk will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Genk (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 50%). Genk (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 4.
- Union SG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Genk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
Niang O.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez K.
(Back Injury)
Scherpen K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Genk: Heynen B.
(Yellow Cards)
Kongolo J.
(Knock)
- We predict that Union SG will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Genk?
Saint-Gilloise has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Saint-Gilloise?
Genk has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Genk were as follows:
21.09.2025
Genk
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:2
03.05.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Genk
1:0
20.04.2025
Genk
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:2
15.03.2025
Genk
-
Saint-Gilloise
2:1
10.11.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Genk
4:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
