İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 14
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.981.37
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
82% (317/388)82% (353/433)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.981.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.54
Total shots
138
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1721
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (317/388)82% (353/433)
Long passes
56% (36/64)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)71% (87/123)
Crosses
24% (5/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.84
Throw-ins
1421
Fouls
98
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3145
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.541.91
Goals prevented
-1.46-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Gultekin E. , Sambissa D. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Ben Yedder W. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Gultekin E. (Pen),
  • 60', Mamadou M. , Dayakli I. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Dursun S. , Cihan M. (A),
  • 62', Cihan M. , Demir M. ,
  • 72', Sambissa D. , Sahin C. ,
  • 72', Mermerci D. , Duymaz O. F. ,
  • 75', Kakuta G. , Akuazaoku U. ,
  • 75', Coban B. , Zwolinski L. ,
  • 86', Krstovski M. , Sandikci E. ,
  • 86', Gultekin E. , Sol M. ,
  • 89', Ben Yedder W. , Kobiljar R. ,
  • 89', Erkin C. , Okumus A. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Zwolinski L. , Yavuz S. (A),
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Duymaz O. F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbulspor
44.1%
Draw
25.4%
Sakaryaspor
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 24.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 24.7% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.1)
    3.66
    (3.73)
    3.01
    (3.02)
    8.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor?
  • Users Predictions: İstanbulspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).
    • İstanbulspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sakaryaspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • İstanbulspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • İstanbulspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
    06.03.2025 İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor 3:0
    20.10.2024 Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor 3:1
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to