Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League One Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Guthrie K. , Smith L. (A),
  • 26', Paterson B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Murray I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Arnott A. , Murray I. (A),
  • 63', Johnstone B. , Luissint B. ,
  • 68', Ferguson A. , Teasdale J. ,
  • 69', Stott J. 🟨,
  • 73', Kennedy K. 🟨,
  • 83', Smith L. , O'Donoghue F. ,
  • 83', Clay C. , Mercer S. ,
  • 84', Wyllie J. , Carroll L. ,
  • 84', Graham J. , Thomas M. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Lyon R. ,
  • 90+2', Stott J. , Burke C. ,

Chances of winning


Queen of the South
59.5%
Draw
23.1%
Kelty Hearts
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Queen of the South's performance.
  • Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Queen of the South that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.75)
    3.99
    (3.5)
    5.27
    (4.1)
    8.6%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Queen of the South may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Queen of the South is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South 1:3
    01.03.2025 Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts 0:1
    21.12.2024 Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South 2:0
    05.10.2024 Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts 1:5
    06.04.2024 Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts 1:2
    Latest results of Queen of the South
    Latest results of Kelty Hearts
    26.08.2025 Kelty Hearts - Celtic B 0:1
    23.08.2025 East Fife - Kelty Hearts 2:1
    09.08.2025 Montrose - Kelty Hearts 1:2
    02.08.2025 Kelty Hearts - Inverness 0:3
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Queen of South53119:5410
    2Alloa43014:229
    3Stenhousemuir52215:418
    4Inverness54019:277
    5Hamilton52127:437
    6East Fife52126:8-27
    7Peterhead52038:10-26
    8Montrose51136:10-44
    9Kelty Hearts41034:8-43
    10Cove Rangers50234:9-52

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: )
          League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two