Qarabağ Agdam vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax
Result
0:3
24/10/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.45
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
214
Shots on Goal
110
Shots off Goal
01
Blocked Shots
13
Free Kicks
2111
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
14
Throw-ins
1412
Goalkeeper Saves
71
Fouls
1121
Red Cards
20
Yellow Cards
62
Total Passes
420542
Completed Passes
340483
Crosses Completed
03
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Romao J. 🟥,
  • 15', Cafarquliyev E. 🟨,
  • 20', Taylor K. 🟨,
  • 22', Huseynov B. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽, Weghorst W. (A),
  • 45+1', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Benzia Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Taylor K. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
  • 59', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
  • 59', Rugani D. ↓, Kaplan A. ↑,
  • 73', Medina K. 🟨,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Weghorst W. (Pen),
  • 75', Leandro Andrade ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Akpom Ch. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
  • 78', Rasmussen C. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
  • 79', Cafarquliyev E. 🟨,
  • 81', Jankovic M. 🟨,
  • 81', Juninho ↓, Addai E. ↑,
  • 81', Benzia Y. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
  • 84', Jankovic M. ↓, Isayev A. ↑,
  • 84', Zoubir A. ↓, Mustafazada B. ↑,
  • 87', Weghorst W. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
29.9%		Draw
25.6%		Ajax
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 26.6% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 26.1% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.2 ↑
    (3.1)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.5)    		 2.16 ↑
    (2.15)    		 4.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: Ajax will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
    • Recent matches Qarabağ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajax will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Red Card) Berghuis S. (Injury) Hlynsson K. (Ankle Injury) Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) Mannsverk S. (Ankle Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    18.10.2024 Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam 0:5 ✺
    06.10.2024 Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam 0:1
    03.10.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Malmö 1:2 ✺
    29.09.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 3:2
    26.09.2024 Tottenham Hotspur - Qarabağ Agdam 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    20.10.2024 Heracles Almelo - Ajax 3:4 ✺
    06.10.2024 Ajax - Groningen 3:1 ✺
    03.10.2024 Slavia Prague - Ajax 1:1 ✺
    29.09.2024 Waalwijk - Ajax 0:2 ✺
    26.09.2024 Ajax - Beşiktaş 4:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0
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