Result
2:4
21/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', Matheus Silva 🟨,
- 6', 0 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
- 11', Addai E. 🟨,
- 14', Senhadji R. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Haqverdi H. ⚽,
- 36', Medina K. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 2, Bayramov T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 59', Senhadji R. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 3, Zoubir A. ⚽,
- 68', Murata M. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 68', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Kehat R. ↑,
- 68', Jankovic A. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 69', Zoubir A. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
- 69', Mustafazada B. ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
- 69', Montiel J. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
- 77', Ramalingom A. (Pen),
- 78', Leandro Andrade ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
- 78', Bayramov T. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
- 78', Keffel ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 78', Abdullazada S. ↓, Rustamli R. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Simon N. ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 4, Kashchuk O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
14.4% | Draw
22.6% | Qarabağ Agdam
63% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qarabağ Agdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.35
(6.35) |
4.05 ↑
(4.01) |
1.45 ↓
(1.47) |
9.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 1.
- Sumgayit is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Qarabağ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Qarabağ has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 7:53. (average 0.4:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:24. (average 0.2:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Sumgayit?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
22.08.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sumgayit
0:1
04.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sumgayit
2:0
03.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:2
16.12.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sumgayit
5:0
06.10.2024
Sumgayit
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:1
Latest results of Sumgayit
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
