Result
2:1
02/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Akuqe C. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Abdullayev F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 2 - 1, Maharramli S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
MOIK Baku 56.5% | Draw 25.4% | Cəbrayıl 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MOIK Baku's performance.Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cəbrayıl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MOIK Baku that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cəbrayıl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.82) |
3.57 ↑ (3.5) |
5 ↑ (3.75) |
10.5% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- MOIK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cəbrayıl is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cəbrayıl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MOIK is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MOIK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has MOIK Baku won against Cəbrayıl?
MOIK Baku has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cəbrayıl won against MOIK Baku?
Cəbrayıl has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl were as follows:
05.02.2026
Cəbrayıl
-
MOIK Baku
2:2
16.10.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Cəbrayıl
4:1
10.04.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Cəbrayıl
2:1
06.02.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Cəbrayıl
2:1
18.10.2024
Cəbrayıl
-
MOIK Baku
0:1
Latest results of MOIK Baku
Latest results of Cəbrayıl
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League