Səbail vs Cəbrayıl – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:0
30/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Almeyda A. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Mammadli F. ,
  • 32', 3 - 0, Hasanov H. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 84', 4 - 0, Voronsov R. ,
  • 87', 5 - 0, Safarov Q. ,
  • 89', 6 - 0, Huseynov R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Səbail
64.5%
Draw
20.5%
Cəbrayıl
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 19% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3% 18.4% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Cəbrayıl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Səbail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Səbail - Cəbrayıl Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.31)
    4.46
    (4.75)
    6.1
    (7.5)
    9.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Səbail - Cəbrayıl?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Səbail is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cəbrayıl has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cəbrayıl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Səbail is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Səbail - Cəbrayıl were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Cəbrayıl - Səbail 1:4
    27.11.2025 Səbail - Cəbrayıl 0:2
    Latest results of Səbail
    23.04.2026 Difai Ağsu - Səbail 0:4
    16.04.2026 Səbail - Shimal 4:0
    09.04.2026 Şəfa - Səbail 2:1
    02.04.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 1:0
    18.03.2026 Səbail - MOIK Baku 2:2
    Latest results of Cəbrayıl
    22.04.2026 Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir 2:1
    15.04.2026 Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl 0:0
    08.04.2026 Cəbrayıl - Zagatala 3:2
    02.04.2026 MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl 2:1
    19.03.2026 Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl 1:1
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

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