HJK vs Dinamo Minsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Nalbandyan H. (Arm)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.931.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
78
Blocked Shots
36
Free Kicks
209
Corner Kicks
410
Offsides
24
Throw-ins
2227
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
920
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
23
Total Passes
413363
Completed Passes
313273
Crosses Completed
65
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Alfred S. 🟨,
  • 40', Polyakov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Moller L. ,
  • 56', Sedko P. , Pedro Igor ,
  • 56', Selyava A. , Kalinin V. ,
  • 62', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
  • 65', Hostikka S. , Bande H. ,
  • 67', Kulikov D. , Amian B. ,
  • 71', Moller L. 🟨,
  • 79', Moller L. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 79', Erwin L. , Plange L. ,
  • 80', Gavrilovich A. , Shkolik I. ,
  • 80', Demchenko N. , Melnichenko T. ,
  • 82', Melnichenko T. 🟥,
  • 83', Plange L. (Pen),
  • 89', Antzoulas G. , Lyons-Foster B. ,
  • 90+10', Kalinin V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HJK
38.9%
Draw
29.1%
Dinamo Minsk
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.9% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • HJK - Dinamo Minsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.1)
    3.24
    (3.3)
    2.95
    (3.25)
    5.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for HJK - Dinamo Minsk?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 18.5%61.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • HJK has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Dinamo Minsk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of HJK
    19.10.2024 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 1:0
    06.10.2024 HJK - Haka 0:1
    03.10.2024 Lugano - HJK 3:0
    28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1
    20.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:1
    Latest results of Dinamo Minsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2