KuPS Kuopio vs HJK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.080.90
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
53
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
142
Passes
87% (511/587)84% (371/443)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.080.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.151.36
Total shots
177
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
142
Touches in opposition box
3228
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1113
Passes
87% (511/587)84% (371/443)
Long passes
55% (29/53)32% (16/50)
Passes in final third
73% (119/162)72% (69/96)
Crosses
22% (7/32)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.71
Throw ins
912
Fouls
1311
Tackles
47% (7/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4834
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.361.15
Goals prevented
0.360.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Ruoppi O. , Moreno Ciorciari J. J. (A),
  • 35', Bogicevic M. 🟨,
  • 43', Markovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kirilov M. , Borchers M. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Borchers M. ,
  • 66', Mero T. , Lappalainen L. ,
  • 67', Pukki T. , Kallinen J. ,
  • 68', Armah B. 🟨,
  • 72', Moller L. , Ezeh D. ,
  • 74', Armah B. , Engvall G. ,
  • 86', Gasc V. R. , Kujasalo N. ,
  • 86', Savolainen S. , Hamalainen T. ,
  • 86', Lingman L. , Nylund A. ,

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
41.2%
Draw
26.8%
HJK
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 26% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 25% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • KuPS Kuopio - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.15)
    3.51
    (3.55)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - HJK?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 75%). HJK will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Tammelan Stadion.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in KuPS: Kabuye C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - HJK were as follows:
    09.11.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    19.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:1
    20.09.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 1:0
    27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:0
    31.05.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:0
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    22.04.2026 KuPS Kuopio - Oulu 3:2
    18.04.2026 FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    11.04.2026 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 1:0
    04.04.2026 Ilves - KuPS Kuopio 1:3
    27.03.2026 SJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:0
    Latest results of HJK
    18.04.2026 Gnistan - HJK 0:3
    11.04.2026 HJK - Oulu 2:1
    04.04.2026 HJK - SJK 3:0
    27.03.2026 Djurgården - HJK 4:2
    21.03.2026 HJK - SJK 1:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AC Oulu640212:6612
    2Inter Turku53206:2411
    3KuPS63219:7211
    4TPS52308:539
    5HJK52218:358
    6VPS52214:318
    7Lahti42024:5-16
    8SJK51225:7-25
    9Jaro50414:5-14
    10Ilves50237:11-42
    11Mariehamn50233:8-52
    12Gnistan40132:10-81

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