The New Saints vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Frischer J. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 16
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 17, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.06
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1514
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
25
Free Kicks
96
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
04
Throw-ins
1114
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
69
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
418623
Completed Passes
360570
Crosses Completed
66
Interceptions
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Holden R. , Williams J. (A),
  • 43', Harrison C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', Holden R. , Clark B. ,
  • 71', Brobbel R. , Wilson A. ,
  • 72', Basmanov S. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, McManus D. (Pen),
  • 88', Williams J. , Cieslewicz A. ,
  • 90+5', McManus D. , Canavan J. ,

Chances of winning


The New Saints
45.1%
Draw
27.6%
Astana
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 26.1% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 25.7% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.
  • Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The New Saints that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+24.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • The New Saints - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (4)
    3.42
    (3.55)
    3.46
    (1.83)
    5.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for The New Saints - Astana?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Astana will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 22%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - The Croud Meadow.
    • Recent matches TNS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Astana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in TNS: McGahey H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in TNS: Astles R. (Injury) Olosunde M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Latest results of Astana
    20.10.2024 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:3
    03.10.2024 Astana - Bačka Topola 1:0
    29.09.2024 Zhenis - Astana 1:1
    25.09.2024 Astana - Yelimay Semey 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2