Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Tomasov M. ⚽, Kasym A. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Zhumakhanov A. ⚽, Ilic H. (A),
- 27', 2 - 1, Placca F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Palacio D. ↓, Adambaev A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Abrayev M. ⚽,
- 51', Adambaev A. 🟨,
- 67', Placca F. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
- 68', Ilic H. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
- 68', Sviridov I. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
- 69', Zhumakhanov A. 🟨,
- 74', Basmanov S. ↓, Karaman D. ↑,
- 83', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
- 83', Kasym A. 🟨,
- 85', Ashirbek A. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
- 88', Abrayev M. ↓, Abdurasulov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yelimay Semey
34.3% | Draw
27.3% | Astana
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yelimay Semey - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.35) |
3.37 ↓
(3.38) |
2.39 ↓
(2.73) |
8.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 0.
- Yelimay has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Astana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Yelimay Semey won against Astana?
Yelimay Semey has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Yelimay Semey?
Astana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yelimay Semey - Astana were as follows:
14.09.2025
Astana
-
Yelimay Semey
3:3
30.05.2025
Yelimay Semey
-
Astana
0:2
20.10.2024
Yelimay Semey
-
Astana
0:3
25.09.2024
Astana
-
Yelimay Semey
1:0
11.08.2024
Yelimay Semey
-
Astana
0:0
Latest results of Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
