Vitesse vs Dordrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.750.80
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
63
Passes
79% (266/338)83% (361/437)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
0.750.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.67
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
64
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1611
Passes
79% (266/338)83% (361/437)
Long passes
52% (23/44)55% (33/60)
Passes in final third
63% (57/90)59% (51/86)
Crosses
32% (7/22)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.57
Throw ins
2522
Fouls
1116
Tackles
71% (10/14)88% (15/17)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.670.32
Goals prevented
-1.33-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Pinto J. 🟨,
  • 25', Hilton J. , Codutti L. ,
  • 26', Huth E. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Buttner A. , Marschalk M. (A),
  • 34', Sunderland L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Pinto J. , Zonneveld N. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Carrillo S. , Yoon D. (A),
  • 64', Carrillo S. , Venema N. ,
  • 65', Sunderland L. , Vetkal M. ,
  • 67', Bonnah S. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Venema N. , de Bie J. (A),
  • 75', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
  • 76', Bonnah S. , Thenu X. ,
  • 76', Huth E. , te Veluwe K. ,
  • 76', Tahaui A. , Ranon Y. ,
  • 83', Yoon D. , van Aken J. ,
  • 90', Marschalk M. , Ouallil Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitesse
44.2%
Draw
25.5%
Dordrecht
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 25% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 24.4% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Vitesse - Dordrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.33)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    3.06
    (2.67)
    7.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Vitesse - Dordrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Vitesse (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Dordrecht (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dordrecht will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dordrecht (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 2.
    • Recent performances by Vitesse have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dordrecht is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vitesse could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Dordrecht were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Dordrecht - Vitesse 1:1
    24.01.2025 Vitesse - Dordrecht 0:3
    22.10.2024 Dordrecht - Vitesse 2:2
    Latest results of Vitesse
    26.01.2026 ADO Den Haag - Vitesse 0:0
    23.01.2026 Vitesse - ADO Den Haag 2:1
    16.01.2026 Helmond Sport - Vitesse 2:2
    21.12.2025 Den Bosch - Vitesse 2:0
    10.12.2025 Vitesse - Waalwijk 2:1
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    23.01.2026 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 3:2
    18.01.2026 Waalwijk - Dordrecht 1:1
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1
    12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

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