VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Seacon - De Koel (Venlo).

Eerste Divisie - Round 21
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.82
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
13	21
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
69% (260/377)	75% (298/395)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.51	1.18
Total shots
13	21
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
7	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	2
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
21	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
69% (260/377)	75% (298/395)
Long passes
42% (31/74)	41% (36/88)
Passes in final third
61% (72/119)	65% (77/119)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.02
Throw-ins
26	27
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	50% (11/22)
Duels won
53	65
Clearances
30	23
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.18	1.51
Goals prevented
0.18	-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Oorschot D. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
39', van Asten R. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
39', Afaker M. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
58', Odriss M. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
60', Heise P. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽,
63', Mokono S. 🟨,
68', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
68', Mokono S. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
74', Venema N. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
74', Vugts S. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
83', Foor N. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
84', van Aken J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
90', Carrillo S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

VVV-Venlo
37.1%

Draw
26.4%

Dordrecht
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VVV-Venlo's form might have worsened.

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.19)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.57 ↓ (2.98)	7.1% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dordrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Venlo might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G. (Yellow Cards) Davis M. (Yellow Cards) Timber D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Dordrecht?

VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against VVV-Venlo?

Dordrecht has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht were as follows:

03.10.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:0

14.03.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 4:0

18.10.2024 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 2:3

16.02.2024 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 1:0

08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺

28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺

24.11.2025 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 3:0 ✺

21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Dordrecht

12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4 ✺

06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺

28.11.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht 1:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Roda - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

21.11.2025 Dordrecht - Vitesse 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

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