Empoli vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Empoli - Parma
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 36
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.34
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
67% (212/315)70% (265/378)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.09
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1621
Passes
67% (212/315)70% (265/378)
Long passes
31% (23/75)38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
49% (50/103)43% (43/100)
Crosses
31% (4/13)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.27
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
2116
Tackles
67% (10/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6373
Clearances
3522
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.091.13
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Fazzini J. , Henderson L. (A),
  • 22', Valenti L. 🟨,
  • 31', Valenti L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Ondrejka J. , Camara D. ,
  • 66', Pellegrino M. , Djuric M. ,
  • 66', Sohm S. , Hernani ,
  • 71', Grassi A. , Anjorin F. ,
  • 73', Cacace L. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Djuric M. , Hernani (A),
  • 77', Cacace L. , Sambia J. ,
  • 77', Bonny A. , Balogh B. ,
  • 84', Esposito Se. , Konate I. ,
  • 84', Henderson L. , Solbakken O. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Anjorin F. , Konate I. (A),
  • 88', Viti M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Empoli
42.3%
Draw
30.3%
Parma
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 29% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 31% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Empoli - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.54)
    3.16
    (3.32)
    3.49
    (2.91)
    4.5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Empoli - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 54.5%78.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Empoli will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
    • Empoli is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Empoli might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery) Vogliacco A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Parma were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Parma - Empoli 1:1
    Latest results of Empoli
    04.05.2025 Empoli - Lazio 0:1
    27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1
    20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0
    Latest results of Parma
    03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0:1
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2
    23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AC Milan54019:3612
    2Napoli540110:5512
    3AS Roma54015:1412
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus53209:5411
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Como62317:529
    8Sassuolo63038:809
    9Cremonese62317:8-19
    10Bologna52125:507
    11Cagliari52125:507
    12Udinese52125:8-37
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina50323:6-33
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Pisa50233:6-32
    20Genoa50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B