Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Manzano R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 89', 1 - 1, Corral Tapia M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marbellí 61.4% | Draw 25.2% | El Palo 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Marbellí aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Marbellí - El Palo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.51) |
3.61 ↑ (3.6) |
6.81 ↑ (6.07) |
9.7% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Marbellí is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- El Palo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Marbellí is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbellí won against El Palo?
Marbellí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Palo won against Marbellí?
El Palo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - El Palo were as follows:
21.09.2025
El Palo
-
Marbellí
2:2
02.03.2025
Marbellí
-
El Palo
2:0
20.10.2024
El Palo
-
Marbellí
1:0
Latest results of Marbellí
Latest results of El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 42:20 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Torredonjimeno | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 50 |
| 6 | Churriana de la Vega | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 30:40 | -10 | 49 |
| 7 | Marbelli | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:28 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Huetor Vega | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Mancha | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22:44 | -22 | 30 |
| 18 | El Palo | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28:51 | -23 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation