Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.43
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
219
Offsides
23
Fouls
921
Yellow Cards
53
Throw-ins
2830
Touches in the Opposition Box
179
Passes
74% (239/324)81% (388/480)
Passes in the final third
69% (78/113)60% (78/129)
Crosses
22% (4/18)5% (1/19)
Tackles
63% (10/16)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
3427
Interceptions
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Hansson E. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, McAtee J. , Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Thomason G. , McAtee J. (A),
  • 53', McAtee J. 🟨,
  • 56', Gardner-Hickman T. , Sampsted A. ,
  • 56', Hansson E. , Harris L. ,
  • 61', Morley A. 🟨,
  • 67', Dowell K. , Stansfield J. ,
  • 68', May A. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 69', Mendes C. , Randall J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Collins A. , Randall J. (A),
  • 81', Iwata T. , Bielik K. ,
  • 84', McAtee J. , Lolos K. ,
  • 90+1', Thomason G. , Matete J. ,
  • 90+1', Morley A. , Sheehan J. ,
  • 90+8', Harris L. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Johnston G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Klarer C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
26%
Draw
28.1%
Birmingham City
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.6% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 26.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (3.7)
    3.38
    (3.41)
    2.05
    (2)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 26.9%73.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
    • Bolton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Birmingham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.
    • Birmingham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Injury) Dempsey K. (Injury) Etete K. (Injury) Santos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Dykes L. (Injury) Leonard M. (Inactive) Wright S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Jones G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Allsop R. (Injury) Anderson K. (Injury) Laird E. (Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Bolton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two