Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 11
- Referee: Arsov S. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Perea J. 🟨,
- 25', Cova A. 🟨,
- 30', Ochayi V. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Umarbaev P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Hristov M. ↓, Varbanov G. ↑,
- 61', Ali E. ↓, Lucas Ryan ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Fourrier B. (Pen),
- 68', 2 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
- 70', Ochayi V. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
- 70', Fontaine N. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
- 73', Ivanov I. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
- 77', Lamy J. 🟨,
- 81', Pavlov T. 🟨,
- 82', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
- 83', Serber K. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
- 83', Schouten R. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
- 86', Pavlov T. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
- 86', Lamy J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Lucas Ryan ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdh47xjf
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
26% | Draw
28.9% | Lokomotiv Plovdiv
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1%)
Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↓
(3.58) |
3.21 ↑
(3.18) |
2.06 ↑
(2.04) |
7.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
- Septemvri Sofia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv were as follows:
28.04.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:0
16.02.2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Septemvri Sofia
0:1
26.08.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:3
07.04.2023
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:1
12.09.2022
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 52:14 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Arda | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:29 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Beroe | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Montana | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
