Almería vs Huesca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

UD Almería Stadium (Almería).

LaLiga2 - Round 16
Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.36
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
24	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
13	1
Passes
88% (515/582)	71% (200/281)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.53	0.00
Total shots
24	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
11	3
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
14	2
Shots outside the Box
10	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
13	1
Touches in opposition box
41	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
88% (515/582)	71% (200/281)
Long passes
75% (36/48)	39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
83% (193/233)	39% (24/62)
Crosses
26% (14/53)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.93	0.19
Throw-ins
21	15
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
80% (4/5)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
30	37
Clearances
9	44
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.13	1.53
Goals prevented
0.13	1.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Thalys 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Thalys ↓, Soko P. ↑,
59', Puigmal A. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
62', Ojeda D. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
62', Enrich S. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
70', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
70', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
77', Alvarez J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
87', Perez A. ↓, Abajas R. ↑,
87', Portillo F. ↓, Rico M. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdembznt

Chances of winning

Almería
56.7%

Draw
25.7%

Huesca
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Almería - Huesca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	3.71 ↓ (4.02)	5.42 ↓ (5.74)	5.5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Almería - Huesca?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Huesca will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 40% – 93.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Huesca (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 0.
Almería is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Huesca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Huesca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Injury)
There will not play in Huesca: Aznar D. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Injury) Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Knee Injury) Toni Abad (Injury)
We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Huesca?

Almería has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Huesca won against Almería?

Huesca has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Huesca were as follows:

19.01.2025 Almería - Huesca 0:0

27.10.2024 Huesca - Almería 2:2

Latest results of Almería

26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Leganés - Almería 0:3 ✺

16.11.2025 Almería - Cádiz 3:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Huesca

23.11.2025 Huesca - Sporting de Gijón 2:0 ✺

16.11.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Huesca - FC Andorra 2:2 ✺

05.11.2025 Real Sociedad B - Huesca 2:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Albacete Balompié - Huesca 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation