Result
1:3
08/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Corradini G. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, D'Andrea F. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 2, Corradini G. ⚽,
- 41', Oviszach E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 58', Vigliotti G. ↓, Biggi S. ↑,
- 67', Oviszach E. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
- 69', Gori G. 🟨,
- 73', Ienco S. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
- 73', Gagliardi L. ↓, Giannini D. ↑,
- 76', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 76', Corradini G. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 76', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 78', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
- 84', Borsoi M. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
- 84', D'Andrea F. ↓, Viero F. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Galuppini F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pineto 24.5% | Draw 30.9% | Ascoli 44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Pineto - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.75 ↑ (3.15) |
2.96 ↓ (3.19) |
2.06 ↓ (2.19) |
9.1% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pineto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ascoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against Ascoli?
Pineto has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Pineto?
Ascoli has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Ascoli were as follows:
23.09.2025
Ascoli
-
Pineto
3:0
17.08.2025
Pineto
-
Ascoli
2:3
08.03.2025
Ascoli
-
Pineto
0:1
27.10.2024
Pineto
-
Ascoli
1:0
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation