Pineto vs Guidonia Montecelio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
11/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
05
Yellow cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
117
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Vigliotti G. ,
  • 11', Santoro S. 🟨,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Gagliardi L. ,
  • 22', Mastrantonio V. , Viteritti O. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Zuppel D. ,
  • 41', Cristini A. 🟨,
  • 44', 3 - 1, Ienco S. ,
  • 45+5', Zuppel D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 64', Cristini A. 🟨,
  • 66', Sannipoli D. , Vitturini D. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Zuppel D. ,
  • 73', Gagliardi L. , Serbouti A. ,
  • 73', Lombardi L. , Amadio S. ,
  • 81', Vigliotti G. , Marrancone A. ,
  • 81', Pellegrino A. , Viero F. ,
  • 84', Errico A. , Spavone A. ,
  • 84', Starita E. , Bernardotto G. ,
  • 90+5', Ienco S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 3, Zuppel D. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Pineto
37%
Draw
31.6%
Guidonia Montecelio
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.9% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.8% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.19)
    2.89
    (3.18)
    2.89
    (3.16)
    9.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Pineto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio were as follows:
    01.09.2025 Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto 0:2
    Latest results of Pineto
    03.01.2026 Vis Pesaro - Pineto 0:2
    20.12.2025 Pineto - Gubbio 1:0
    15.12.2025 Arezzo - Pineto 3:3
    07.12.2025 Sassari Torres - Pineto 1:1
    29.11.2025 Pineto - Ravenna 0:3
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation