Result
3:2 penalties
28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (343/482) | 84% (580/688) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (343/482) | 84% (580/688) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (28/88) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (105/172) | 58% (96/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Wahl H. ⚽, Smith E. (A),
- 21', Pyrka A. 🟨,
- 39', Blessin A. 🟨,
- 40', Promel G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 1, Promel G. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
- 50', Hajdari A. 🟨,
- 66', Pyrka A. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 66', Hountondji A. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 71', Promel G. ↓, Burger W. ↑,
- 74', Ceesay A. 🟨,
- 76', Hranac R. 🟨,
- 77', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
- 80', Afolayan O. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
- 81', Metcalfe C. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
- 85', Hranac R. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
- 86', Mets K. 🟨,
- 86', Lemperle T. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
- 90+2', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mets K. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 107', 1 - 2, Kramaric A. (Pen),
- 108', Prass A. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
- 119', Saliakas M. 🟨,
- 119', Kramaric A. 🟨,
- 120+2', 2 - 2, Pereira Lage M. ⚽,
- Penalties (8 - 7)
- 1, Smith E. (Pen),
- 1, Kramaric A. (Pen),
- 2, Oppie L. (Pen),
- 2, Burger W. (Pen),
- 3, Kaars M. (Pen),
- 3, Bebou I. (Pen),
- 4, Pereira Lage M. (Pen),
- 4, Avdullahu L. (Pen),
- 5, Saliakas M. (Pen),
- 5, Bernardo (Pen),
- 6, Fujita J. (Pen),
- 6, Toure B. (Pen),
- 7, Sands J. (Pen),
- 7, Kabak O. (Pen),
- 8, Ceesay A. (Pen),
- 8, Tohumcu U. (Pen),
- 9, Wahl H. (Pen),
- 9, Hajdari A. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y8ww84zz
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
36.7% | Draw
27.5% | Hoffenheim
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.37) |
3.55 ↑
(3.5) |
2.85 ↓
(2.9) |
1.9%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Hoffenheim?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Hoffenheim will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- St. Pauli has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hoffenheim has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hoffenheim?
St. Pauli has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against St. Pauli?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Hoffenheim were as follows:
19.10.2025
St. Pauli
-
Hoffenheim
0:3
14.03.2025
St. Pauli
-
Hoffenheim
1:0
02.11.2024
Hoffenheim
-
St. Pauli
0:2
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | FC Gutersloh | Union Berlin | 0 : 5 |
| 2 | Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Regensburg | FC Koln | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Wehen | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Cottbus | Hannover | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Sandhausen | RB Leipzig | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Illertissen | Nurnberg | 4 : 3 |
| 8 | Saarbrucken | Magdeburg | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | Hertha Berlin | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Ulm | Elversberg | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Lohne | Greuther Furth | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | RSV Eintracht | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 7 |
| 13 | Schweinfurt | Dusseldorf | 2 : 4 |
| 14 | Lotte | Freiburg | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Lubeck | Darmstadt | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Schalke | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | Heidenheim | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Pirmasens | Hamburger SV | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hemelingen | Wolfsburg | 0 : 9 |
| 20 | FC 08 Homburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Hallescher | Augsburg | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | BFC Dynamo | Bochum | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | SG Dynamo Dresden | Mainz | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Braunschweig | Stuttgart | 4 : 5 |
| 25 | Engers | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 : 5 |
| 26 | RW Essen | Dortmund | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Viktoria Koln | Paderborn | 1 : 3 |
| 28 | Grossaspach | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Delmenhorst | B. Monchengladbach | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Meuselwitz | Karlsruher SC | 0 : 5 |
| 31 | Norderstedt | St. Pauli | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Hansa Rostock | Hoffenheim | 0 : 4 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Union Berlin | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Koln | Bayern Munich | 1 : 4 |
| 3 | Cottbus | RB Leipzig | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Illertissen | Magdeburg | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Hertha Berlin | Elversberg | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Dusseldorf | Freiburg | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Darmstadt | Schalke | 4 : 0 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolfsburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Augsburg | Bochum | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Dortmund | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Paderborn | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 4 |
| 15 | B. Monchengladbach | Karlsruher SC | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 3 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | Magdeburg | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin | Kaiserslautern | 6 : 1 |
| 4 | Freiburg | Darmstadt | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | Holstein Kiel | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bochum | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | B. Monchengladbach | St. Pauli | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | |
| 2 | Hertha Berlin | Freiburg | |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel | Stuttgart | |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | St. Pauli | |
