Köln vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.081.47
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
310
Passes
69% (184/265)81% (389/483)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.081.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.532.87
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
29
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
815
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1733
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
40
Free kicks
126
Passes
69% (184/265)81% (389/483)
Long passes
28% (16/58)43% (22/51)
Passes in final third
61% (52/85)65% (87/134)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (10/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.86
Throw ins
3021
Fouls
612
Tackles
58% (11/19)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
4038
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.871.53
Goals prevented
0.87-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ache R. , El Mala S. (A),
  • 42', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Kabak O. , Hajdari A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 2, Kramaric A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 2, El Mala S. , Kaminski J. (A),
  • 69', Sebulonsen S. , Simpson-Pusey J. ,
  • 73', Burger W. , Prass A. ,
  • 75', Coufal V. 🟨,
  • 78', Ozkacar C. 🟨,
  • 85', Ache R. , Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 85', El Mala S. , Bulter M. ,
  • 89', Kramaric A. , Moerstedt M. ,
  • 90+1', Krauss T. , Johannesson I. ,
  • 90+1', Kaminski J. , Schenten F. ,
  • 90+2', Asllani F. , Eduardo Y. ,
  • 90+2', Toure B. , Gendrey V. ,
  • 90+5', Moerstedt M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Köln
27.8%
Draw
25.6%
Hoffenheim
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 25.7% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.5% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Köln - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.03)
    3.7
    (3.7)
    2.06
    (2.21)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Köln - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 63.7%90.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Hoffenheim (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Hoffenheim (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hoffenheim (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hoffenheim (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 2.
    • Recent performances by Köln have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hoffenheim will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ribs Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Lemperle T. (Ankle Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    11.02.2024 Hoffenheim - Köln 1:1
    16.09.2023 Köln - Hoffenheim 1:3
    22.04.2023 Hoffenheim - Köln 1:3
    30.10.2022 Köln - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Köln
    14.02.2026 Stuttgart - Köln 3:1
    08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund32207565:323367
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Freiburg321281245:53-844
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz329101341:50-937
    11B. Monchengladbach328111337:50-1335
    12Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    13Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    14FC Koln327111447:55-832
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16Wolfsburg32681842:67-2526
    17St. Pauli32681827:55-2826
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )