SJK vs IFK Mariehamn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga SJK - IFK Mariehamn
28/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
SJK - IFK Mariehamn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.20
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
85% (402/471)84% (341/404)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.00
Total shots
144
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
196
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
99
Passes
85% (402/471)84% (341/404)
Long passes
52% (25/48)43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
65% (73/113)61% (68/112)
Crosses
30% (8/27)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.77
Throw-ins
2912
Fouls
99
Tackles
38% (5/13)44% (7/16)
Duels won
3834
Clearances
1923
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.20
Goals prevented
-0.90-2.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Streng J. , Yussif S. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Paananen K. , Karjalainen R. (A),
  • 18', 3 - 0, Fonsell M. (Own goal),
  • 40', Cardoso H. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Reid J. , Adedoyin K. ,
  • 46', Dahlstrom S. , Heyden J. ,
  • 46', Vaisto O. , Obileye A. ,
  • 61', Karjalainen R. , Laine L. ,
  • 61', Paananen K. , Machaal A. ,
  • 64', 4 - 0, Mastokangas E. , Gasc V. R. (A),
  • 72', Fati B. , Oksanen G. ,
  • 72', Kujasalo N. , Jansson M. ,
  • 72', Patut E. 🟨,
  • 76', Mastokangas E. , Tessilimi O. ,
  • 78', Huttunen A. , Andersson L. ,
  • 81', Heyden J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Adedoyin K. , Patut E. (A),

Chances of winning


SJK
66.1%
Draw
18.8%
IFK Mariehamn
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 17% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 15.9% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • SJK - IFK Mariehamn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.34)
    4.97
    (5.56)
    6.3
    (7.65)
    6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for SJK - IFK Mariehamn?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 76.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 4.
    • SJK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mariehamn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, SJK is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in SJK: Pires K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Riikonen M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in SJK: Vargas A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mariehamn: Toivonen E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
    19.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - SJK 1:2
    21.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn - SJK 0:4
    31.05.2024 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 0:2
    26.08.2023 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 3:2
    11.06.2023 IFK Mariehamn - SJK 0:2
    Latest results of SJK
    24.06.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:0
    18.06.2025 Ilves - SJK 2:3
    14.06.2025 SJK - FF Jaro 3:1
    11.06.2025 SJK - KPV Kokkola 7:0
    31.05.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:2
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    14.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    11.06.2025 Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn 4:3
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    28.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1486027:91830
    2KuPS1693427:171030
    3Ilves1592433:171629
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6VPS1453621:21018
    7Gnistan1445518:24-617
    8Mariehamn1544715:30-1516
    9Jaro1443716:21-515
    10Haka1443716:24-815
    11KTP1424814:33-1910
    12AC Oulu1423918:30-129

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of SJK - IFK Mariehamn?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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