Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lahti
56%
Draw
25.9%
IFK Mariehamn
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.7% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 25.3% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Lahti - IFK Mariehamn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.78)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    5.17
    (4.12)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 2.
    • Lahti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mariehamn has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lahti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lahti is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lahti - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
    05.03.2026 IFK Mariehamn - Lahti 4:0
    19.09.2024 Lahti - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    18.08.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Lahti 0:0
    12.05.2024 Lahti - IFK Mariehamn 3:0
    23.02.2024 Lahti - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    Latest results of Lahti
    04.05.2026 HJK - Lahti 1:0
    28.04.2026 Union Plaani - Lahti 2:4
    25.04.2026 Lahti - Oulu 2:1
    18.04.2026 Lahti - Inter Turku 0:2
    13.04.2026 KTP Kotka - Lahti 1:3
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    02.05.2026 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 0:1
    28.04.2026 HPS - IFK Mariehamn 1:2
    18.04.2026 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 2:2
    10.04.2026 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 3:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AC Oulu640212:6612
    2HJK63219:3611
    3Inter Turku53206:2411
    4KuPS63219:7211
    5TPS52308:539
    6VPS52214:318
    7Lahti52034:6-26
    8SJK51225:7-25
    9Jaro50414:5-14
    10Ilves50237:11-42
    11Mariehamn50233:8-52
    12Gnistan40132:10-81

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