Result
2:3
24/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai FA Cup - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | True Ball Thai 1, True ID |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.41 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
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| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (346/411) | 76% (247/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.41 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.83 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (346/411) | 76% (247/327) |
| Long passes |
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| 52% (26/50) | 29% (17/58) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (101/134) | 60% (59/99) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (3/18) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.62 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 73% (8/11) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 13 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.07 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.93 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', Dougall K. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Bissoli (Pen),
- 35', 0 - 2, Causic G. ⚽, Good C. (A),
- 40', Jaided S. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Arjvirai P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hong Jung-Woon ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Bissoli ⚽,
- 59', Sukjitthammakul P. 🟨,
- 63', Roback E. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
- 63', Autra P. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
- 65', Sukjitthammakul P. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
- 65', Good C. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
- 65', Bunmathan T. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Thodsanit P. (A),
- 78', Etheridge N. 🟨,
- 78', Khamyok K. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
- 81', Maikami R. ↓, Stephen Berg A. ↑,
- 88', Jaided S. ↓, Hemviboon P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United 17.5% | Draw 25.9% | Buriram United 56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Muangthong United - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.27 ↓ (6.36) |
3.56 ↑ (3.38) |
1.63 ↑ (1.56) |
8.4% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Buriram United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Thammasat Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 1.
- Muangthong United is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Buriram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Buriram is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Buriram United?
Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Muangthong United?
Buriram United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Buriram United were as follows:
23.02.2025
Muangthong United
-
Buriram United
1:3
22.12.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
1:0
22.05.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
0:2
27.04.2024
Buriram United
-
Muangthong United
3:1
03.12.2023
Muangthong United
-
Buriram United
2:2
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Buriram United
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Lopburi City | Ratchaburi | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Burapha United | Port MTI FC | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Customs Utd | Nonthaburi Utd | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Chiangrai Utd | Sing Pathumthani | 19 : 0 |
| 5 | Cha Choeng Sao | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Kasetsart | Nakhon Pathom | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Pattaya City | Chiangmai FC | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Sukhothai | Yala | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Mahasarakham | Rayong FC | 1 : 4 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | Udon United | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Buriram | Warin Chamrap | 12 : 0 |
| 12 | Kanchanaburi | Nara | 4 : 0 |
| 13 | Chonburi | Police Tero | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Pathum United | Kamphaeng Phet | 4 : 0 |
| 15 | Prime Bangkok | Khonkaen FC | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Nong Khai FC | Khonkaen Utd. | 0 : 5 |
| 17 | Bankhai United | Nakhon Nayok | 5 : 0 |
| 18 | Thai Fleet | FC ACDC | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Surin Sugar | Ubonkids City | 2 : 9 |
| 20 | Marines FC | Sisaket United | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Muangnont | Phitsanulok | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Chiangmai Utd | Prachuap | 2 : 6 |
| 23 | Roi Et | Samut Songkhram City | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Uthai Thani | Kasem Bundit | 3 : 0 |
| 25 | Siwilai | Uttaradit | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Phichit United | Udon Thani City | 1 : 0 |
| 27 | Bangkok Utd | Samut Sakhon City | 7 : 0 |
| 28 | Muang Thong Utd | Romklao United | 10 : 0 |
| 29 | Samui United | Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Thonburi Forest | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0 : 7 |
| 31 | See Khwae City | Pattani | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Surat Thani City | Lamphun Warrior | 1 : 4 |