Muangthong United vs Lamphun Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Thunderdome Stadium (Nonthaburi).

Thai League 1 - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.47	0.53
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
5	2
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
2	5
Passes
83% (387/464)	81% (289/358)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.47	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.82
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
23	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
14	12
Passes
83% (387/464)	81% (289/358)
Long passes
52% (34/65)	50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
67% (87/130)	58% (61/105)
Crosses
6% (1/18)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	0.85
Throw ins
24	18
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
57% (8/14)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
45	39
Clearances
23	40
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.82	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.18	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Panthong S. 🟨,
40', Schad D. 🟨,
42', Khamyok K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Willian Popp 🟨,
55', Tapla B. 🟨,
56', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
66', Moonwong W. ↓, Khotrsupho T. ↑,
66', Mlapa P. ↓, Cissokho A. ↑,
66', Tapla B. ↓, Kekkonen O. ↑,
67', Khotrsupho T. 🟨,
74', Tasa K. ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
76', Ralph 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Saric M. ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
85', Noiwilai N. ↓, Suriyachai S. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Yodsangwal A. ⚽, Khotrsupho T. (A),
90+2', Yodsangwal A. ↓, Churok T. ↑,
90+2', Khamyok K. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Muangthong United
37.7%

Draw
27%

Lamphun Warriors
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muangthong United's form might have worsened.

Lamphun Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lamphun Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamphun Warriors than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.12)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.59 ↓ (3.06)	9.7% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3.
Muangthong United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lamphun Warriors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Muangthong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Lamphun Warriors will win today's game, with odds of 2.75.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Lamphun Warriors?

Muangthong United has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lamphun Warriors won against Muangthong United?

Lamphun Warriors has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors were as follows:

20.12.2025 Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors 0:1

03.10.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Muangthong United 2:2

11.01.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Muangthong United 1:5

18.08.2024 Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors 1:0

21.04.2024 Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors 2:1

Latest results of Muangthong United

01.02.2026 Ratchaburi - Muangthong United 3:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Muangthong United - Rayong FC 1:3 ✺

21.01.2026 Muangthong United - Pathum United 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Kanchanaburi - Muangthong United 3:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Muangthong United - Ayutthaya United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Lamphun Warriors

09.02.2026 Lamphun Warriors - Kanchanaburi 1:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Nakhon Ratchasima - Lamphun Warriors 0:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Lamphun Warriors - Chonburi 0:3 ✺

25.01.2026 Lamphun Warriors - Sukhothai 3:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Chonburi - Lamphun Warriors 1:0 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram ✔	29	22	3	4	75:30	45	69
2	Port MTI FC	29	17	6	6	55:22	33	57
3	Ratchaburi	29	17	5	7	54:30	24	56
4	Pathum United	29	13	10	6	42:29	13	49
5	Bangkok Utd	29	13	10	6	42:31	11	49
6	Prachuap	29	11	12	6	39:34	5	45
7	Chiangrai Utd	29	8	13	8	35:37	-2	37
8	Chonburi	29	9	9	11	36:40	-4	36
9	Rayong FC	29	9	9	11	43:48	-5	36
10	Ayutthaya Utd	29	8	8	13	33:46	-13	32
11	Uthai Thani	29	7	10	12	39:43	-4	31
12	Lamphun Warrior	29	4	16	9	34:46	-12	28
13	Muang Thong Utd	29	6	8	15	27:49	-22	26
14	Sukhothai	29	5	10	14	20:42	-22	25
15	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	29	6	6	17	19:42	-23	24
16	Kanchanaburi ✔	29	4	11	14	29:53	-24	23

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Kanchanaburi is Relegated to Thai League 2