Result
1:3
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 7
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (381/459) | 80% (264/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (381/459) | 80% (264/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/40) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 73% (71/97) | 78% (83/107) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (6/24) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 59 |
| Clearances |
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| 10 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.73 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Huard M. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Ifnaoui M. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
- 26', 1 - 2, Mille A. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
- 45', Huard M. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Mille A. 🟨,
- 67', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
- 67', Cisse K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Assoumou J. ⚽,
- 70', Poirier G. 🟨,
- 70', Adeline M. 🟨,
- 76', Hachem R. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 77', Haag G. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
- 77', Assoumou J. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 77', Adeline M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
- 82', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 90+5', Mille A. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/z7fxk9hr
Chances of winning
Red Star
27.6% | Draw
30.2% | Troyes
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Star's form might have worsened.Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troyes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Star, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Red Star - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(2.64) |
3.41 ↑
(3.3) |
2.38 ↓
(2.49) |
-3.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Troyes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Injury)
Hachem A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Maronnier L.
(Inactive)
Phliponeau A.
(Muscle Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Troyes?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Red Star?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Troyes were as follows:
05.04.2025
Troyes
-
Red Star
2:2
08.11.2024
Red Star
-
Troyes
0:3
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
