Troyes vs Red Star: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Troyes - Red Star
Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
Troyes - Red Star - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.02
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
77% (242/316)82% (390/477)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.97
Total shots
810
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1721
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
717
Passes
77% (242/316)82% (390/477)
Long passes
38% (20/52)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
68% (73/107)65% (70/108)
Crosses
42% (8/19)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.82
Fouls
177
Tackles
93% (13/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3949
Clearances Total
2918
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.971.56
Goals prevented
-1.03-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Irie C. , M'Changama Y. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mbock H. , Hachem R. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Ifnaoui M. ,
  • 40', 2 - 2, M'Changama Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Mendes H. 🟨,
  • 61', de Preville N. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 73', Diop M. , Adeline M. ,
  • 75', Monfray A. 🟨,
  • 80', Irie C. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 80', Phliponeau A. , Kante A. ,
  • 82', Mendy B. , Escartin J. ,
  • 82', Benali H. , Cisse K. ,
  • 82', Durand D. , Badji A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/88wfvzme

Chances of winning


Troyes
51.3%
Draw
28.2%
Red Star
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 27.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Troyes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Troyes - Red Star Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.83)
    3.34
    (3.43)
    4.54
    (4.38)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Red Star?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Troyes will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Troyes is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W. (Injury) Danger B. (Injury) Doucoure R. (Injury) Mendy B. (Injury) Slimani R. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Red Star were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Red Star - Troyes 0:3
    Latest results of Troyes
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    14.03.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Paris FC - Troyes 1:0
    Latest results of Red Star
    28.03.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Red Star - Guingamp 3:1
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5AC Ajaccio00000:000
    6Amiens00000:000
    7Bastia00000:000
    8Clermont00000:000
    9Guingamp00000:000
    10Montpellier00000:000
    11Reims00000:000
    12Troyes00000:000
    13Laval00000:000
    14Pau FC00000:000
    15Rodez00000:000
    16Annecy00000:000
    17Dunkerque00000:000
    18Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Red Star?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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