Result
4:3
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (337/429) | 69% (198/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 3.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (337/429) | 69% (198/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (39/68) | 29% (18/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (87/126) | 56% (62/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.44 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.44 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Guevara J. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Durand D. ⚽, Lemonnier P. (A),
- 20', Haag G. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 2, Tomi F. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 3, Lemonnier P. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Haag G. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Cabral K. (A),
- 58', 3 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Ikanga J. (A),
- 65', Boutrah A. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
- 65', Zaouai A. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 66', Bohnert F. 🟨,
- 75', Cabral K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 75', Sylla D. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
- 75', Ikanga J. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 77', Bohnert F. ↓, Lebas da Silva V. ↑,
- 77', Tomi F. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
- 84', Hachem R. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
- 84', Guidi D. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 3, Benali H. ⚽, Ba P. M. (A),
- 89', Benali H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Star
48% | Draw
29.7% | Bastia
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Star - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.17) |
3.16 ↓
(3.3) |
4.19 ↑
(3.26) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Red Star - Bastia?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Red Star (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Red Star will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Red Star has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bastia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Red Star: Cabral K.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
Kany V.
(Coach's decision)
Trani G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z.
(Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Merghem M.
(Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Bastia?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Red Star?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Bastia were as follows:
05.12.2025
Bastia
-
Red Star
Abandoned
21.02.2025
Bastia
-
Red Star
1:0
06.12.2024
Red Star
-
Bastia
0:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
