Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/446) | 78% (263/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.33 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/446) | 78% (263/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (94/139) | 65% (72/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 3.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Alleyne M. (Own goal),
- 5', Brannagan C. 🟨,
- 30', Mills S. 🟨,
- 32', Semedo V. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
- 39', Keben K. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Ngakia J. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Ngakia J. ⚽,
- 45+5', Helik M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Kjerrumgaard L. 🟨,
- 54', Louza I. 🟨,
- 57', Mills S. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
- 57', Lankshear W. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 70', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
- 70', Wiley C. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
- 70', Louza I. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 73', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
- 85', Dembele S. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 85', Prelec N. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 87', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 90+2', Currie J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
44.7% | Draw
29.5% | Oxford United
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3%)
Watford - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.9) |
3.38 ↓
(3.45) |
3.73 ↓
(4.13) |
0.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Oxford (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 21).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Watford is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Oxford United?
Watford has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Watford?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Oxford United were as follows:
15.03.2025
Oxford United
-
Watford
1:0
08.11.2024
Watford
-
Oxford United
1:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
