Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 40
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (252/335) | 77% (303/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (252/335) | 77% (303/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (51/86) | 59% (67/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Bove E. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Kolli R. ⚽, Smyth P. (A),
- 29', Kolli R. 🟨,
- 30', Dunne J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kolli R. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
- 49', Ekwah P. 🟨,
- 57', Bove E. ↓, Nabizada A. ↑,
- 57', Irankunda N. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 57', Ekwah P. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 61', Smyth P. 🟨,
- 62', Goglichidze S. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Smyth P. ⚽,
- 72', Smyth P. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
- 73', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 79', Vale H. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
- 84', Kone R. 🟨,
- 85', Goglichidze S. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Louza I. ⚽,
- 87', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Poku K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Louza I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Queens Park Rangers
37% | Draw
28.8% | Watford
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Queens Park Rangers - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.66) |
3.29 ↓
(3.32) |
2.78 ↑
(2.62) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Watford?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 19.1% – 73.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in QPR: Burrell R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Dembele K.
(Knee Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Madsen N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kyprianou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Maamma O.
(Muscle Injury)
Ngakia J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Petris J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Obikwu J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Watford: Abankwah J.
(Injury)
Goglichidze S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, QPR won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Watford?
Queens Park Rangers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Queens Park Rangers?
Watford has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Watford were as follows:
16.08.2025
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:1
01.01.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
3:1
30.11.2024
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
0:0
14.01.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
1:2
05.08.2023
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
4:0
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
