Carabanchel vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/03/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Ramirez de Arroba A. ,

Chances of winning


Carabanchel
23.4%
Draw
29.7%
Alcalá
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 24.2% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.1% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabanchel's performance.
  • Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabanchel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carabanchel - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (5.73)
    3.06
    (3.75)
    1.94
    (1.51)
    9.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Carabanchel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alcalá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alcalá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Alcalá will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Alcalá were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Alcalá - Carabanchel 1:0
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    Latest results of Alcalá
    09.03.2025 Alcalá - El Álamo 4:1
    01.03.2025 Collado Villalba - Alcalá 3:2
    23.02.2025 Alcalá - Galapagar 5:0
    16.02.2025 Trival Valderas - Alcalá 1:2
    09.02.2025 Alcalá - Aravaca 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas30158749:321753
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello30951628:41-1332
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

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