Carabanchel vs Leganés B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Herrero J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 2, Osei D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Ramirez de Arroba A. ,
  • 89', Garcia R. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Camara R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carabanchel
24.1%
Draw
28.3%
Leganés B
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 26.4% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2% 25.9% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Carabanchel - Leganés B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.85)
    3.2
    (3.45)
    1.91
    (1.83)
    10.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 0.
    • Recent form of Carabanchel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Leganés B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carabanchel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leganés B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Leganés B were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Carabanchel - Leganés B 2:2
    19.10.2024 Leganés B - Carabanchel 0:0
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    06.12.2025 Carabanchel - Torrejón 0:1
    23.11.2025 Parla - Carabanchel 3:1
    16.11.2025 Carabanchel - Alcorcón B 2:3
    08.11.2025 México - Carabanchel 1:2
    Latest results of Leganés B
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas30158749:321753
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello30951628:41-1332
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation