South Georgia Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.14
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
119
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
82% (331/405)79% (323/408)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.401.73
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
119
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
82% (331/405)79% (323/408)
Long passes
46% (32/70)48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
71% (104/146)63% (81/128)
Crosses
36% (4/11)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.88
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1310
Tackles
80% (4/5)89% (8/9)
Duels won
2944
Clearances
3825
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
77
xGOT faced
1.733.40
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', Rasheed M. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Bazini Y. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. , Doyle C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Lage M. , Vaughan J. ,
  • 46', Garnett G. , Howell B. ,
  • 47', Cela K. 🟨,
  • 49', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Seufert N. ,
  • 64', Bazini Y. , Vivas S. ,
  • 64', Jimenez O. , Gray T. ,
  • 66', Bwana H. , Tunbridge M. ,
  • 68', Billhardt A. , Kirkland J. ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Gray T. ,
  • 71', Malou J. 🟨,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Kirkland J. , Howell B. (A),
  • 76', 4 - 2, Reid-Stephen N. ,
  • 77', Malou J. , Kasanzu J. ,
  • 80', Cela K. , Baer R. ,
  • 85', Reid-Stephen N. , Walker A. ,
  • 85', Seufert N. , Anderson H. ,
  • 90', Vivas S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', O'Dwyer C. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Georgia Tormenta
50.3%
Draw
24.4%
Richmond Kickers
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 22.8% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 21.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Georgia Tormenta's form might have worsened.
  • Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Georgia Tormenta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.59)
    3.79
    (3.97)
    3.65
    (4.43)
    8.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 1.
    • Tormenta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Richmond Kickers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tormenta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tormenta is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Tormenta will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta 2:3
    07.03.2025 South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers 2:4
    11.10.2024 South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers 2:2
    10.08.2024 Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta 2:1
    25.05.2024 South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers 1:2
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)